понеділок, 28 березня 2011 р.

Targeting pips

I do not agree that pip goal has no effect on expectancy.

For equidistant 1000 pip goal, the house edge is 1 - (1000 - 2) / (1000 + 2) = 0.4%
For equidistant 100 pip goal, the house edge is 1 - (100 - 2) / (100 + 2) = 3.9%
For equidistant 10 pip goal, the house edge is 1 - (10 - 2) / (10 + 2) = 33.3%

To overcome the house edge for 1000 pip goal, our win% has to be at least 50.1%
To overcome the house edge for 100 pip goal, our win% has to be at least 51.0%
To overcome the house edge for 10 pip goal, tour win% has to be at least 60.0%

Obviously it is much easier to beat the house edge if you have greater pip goal.

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